{"id":50055,"date":"2020\/3\/17","date_gmt":"2020-03-17T11:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/go2senkyo.com\/articles\/?p=50055"},"modified":"2020-03-18T10:19:40","modified_gmt":"2020-03-18T01:19:40","slug":"%e6%96%b0%e5%9e%8b%e3%82%b3%e3%83%ad%e3%83%8a%e3%82%a6%e3%82%a4%e3%83%ab%e3%82%b9%e5%af%be%e7%ad%96%e3%81%8c%e5%a4%a7%e7%b5%b1%e9%a0%98%e9%81%b8%e3%81%ae%e8%a1%8c%e6%96%b9%e3%82%92%e6%b1%ba%e3%82%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/go2senkyo.com\/articles\/2020\/03\/17\/50055.html","title":{"rendered":"\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u5bfe\u7b56\u304c\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u306e\u884c\u65b9\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\uff1f\uff01\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u30cd\u30c3\u30c8\u9078\u6319\u30fb\u30c7\u30b8\u30bf\u30eb\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u6700\u65b0\u4e8b\u60c5"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\"\"

\u300cFiveThrityEight\u300d\u5185\u306e\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u4e88\u5099\u9078\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\u3088\u308a https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2020-primary-forecast\/<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

\u8a71\u984c\u306f\u73fe\u8077\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306e\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u5bfe\u7b56\u3001\u30c7\u30b8\u30bf\u30eb\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u6226\u7565\u3078<\/h3>\n

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\"\"

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2016\u5e74\u306e\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u3067\u9078\u6319\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53ca\u307c\u3057\u305f\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u308b\u30d5\u30a7\u30a4\u30b9\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u540c\u793e\u304c\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300c\u5e83\u544a\u30e9\u30a4\u30d6\u30e9\u30ea\u30fc\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8<\/a>\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u516c\u5f0f\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\u3092\u53c2\u7167\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u306e\u5404\u5019\u88dc\u8005\u5408\u8a08\u6d88\u5316\u91d1\u984d\u30681\u65e5\u5f53\u308a\u306e\u5185\u8a33\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u51fa\u6765\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u30c4\u30fc\u30eb\u3082\u6298\u306b\u89e6\u308c\u3066\u53c2\u7167\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u52d5\u5411\u3092\u7aba\u3044\u77e5\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u51fa\u6765\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"

\u30d5\u30a7\u30a4\u30b9\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u5e83\u544a\u30e9\u30a4\u30d6\u30e9\u30ea\u30fc\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\uff08\u5408\u8a08\u6d88\u5316\u91d1\u984d\uff09<\/strong> \u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u6319\u306e\u5019\u88dc\u8005\u306eFacebook\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u6bce\u306b\u793e\u4f1a\u554f\u984c\u30fb\u9078\u6319\u30fb\u653f\u6cbb\u306b\u95a2\u9023\u3059\u308b\u5e83\u544a\u306b\u6d88\u5316\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5408\u8a08\u91d1\u984d\uff082019\u5e741\u67081\u65e5\u304b\u30892020\u5e743\u670813\u65e5\u307e\u3067\u306e\u671f\u9593\uff09\u3002Instagram\u3092\u542b\u3080Facebook\u88fd\u54c1\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u5e83\u544a\u304c\u5bfe\u8c61\u3002\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u9663\u55b6\u306f\u6628\u5e741\u6708\u304b\u3089\u5408\u8a082637.7\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\uff08\u7d0428.1\u5104\u5186\uff09\u3092\u6295\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5206\u304b\u308b\u3002\u6b21\u3044\u3067\u30b5\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc\u30b9\u9663\u55b6\u306e1282.5\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\uff08\u7d0413.7\u5104\u5186\uff09\u3001\u30d0\u30a4\u30c7\u30f3\u9663\u55b6\u306e728.92\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\uff08\u7d047.7\u5104\u5186\uff09\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p><\/div>\n

\"\"

\u30d5\u30a7\u30a4\u30b9\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u5e83\u544a\u30e9\u30a4\u30d6\u30e9\u30ea\u30fc\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\uff081\u65e5\u3042\u305f\u308a\u306e\u5185\u8a33\uff09 <\/strong>\u30fb\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u9663\u55b6\u306f\u4eca\u5e74\u306e2\u67081\u65e5\u306b\u7fcc\u65e5\u958b\u50ac\u306e\u30b9\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u30dc\u30fc\u30eb\u3067\u306eCM\u653e\u6620\u306e\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u306741.5\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\uff08\u7d044,422\u4e07\u5186\uff09\u5206\u306e\u5e83\u544a\u51fa\u7a3f\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u30013\u6708\u4ee5\u964d\u306f\u30b5\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc\u30b9\u9663\u55b6\u3092\u51cc\u304e\u30d0\u30a4\u30c7\u30f3\u9663\u55b6\u304c\u5e83\u544a\u51fa\u7a3f\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u30013\u67083\u65e5\u306e\u30b9\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9\u30c7\u30a3\u524d\u65e5\u306b35.7\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\uff08\u7d043,800\u4e07\u5186\uff09\u5206\u306e\u5e83\u544a\u51fa\u7a3f\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5206\u304b\u308b\u3002<\/p><\/div>\n

\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u306f\u4ee5\u524d\u304b\u3089SMS\uff08\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\uff09\u3084\u30db\u30ef\u30c3\u30c4\u30a2\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30c6\u30ad\u30b9\u30c8\u30e1\u30c3\u30bb\u30fc\u30b8\u30f3\u30b0\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u306e\u5229\u7528\u3082\u5e83\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001\u3053\u30531\u301c2\u5e74\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5404\u7a2e\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u3067\u4f1d\u3048\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30de\u30a4\u30af\u30ed\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u5e83\u544a\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u898f\u5236\u3084\u6279\u5224\u3068\u3044\u3046\u80cc\u666f\u3082\u3042\u3063\u3066\u304b\u3001\u71b1\u5fc3\u306a\u652f\u6301\u8005\u304c\u500b\u4eba\u306e\u30b9\u30de\u30fc\u30c8\u30d5\u30a9\u30f3\u304b\u3089\u81ea\u5206\u7528\u306b\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u30d1\u30fc\u30bd\u30ca\u30e9\u30a4\u30ba\u3001\u30ab\u30b9\u30bf\u30de\u30a4\u30ba\u3057\u305f\u30e1\u30c3\u30bb\u30fc\u30b8\u3092\u77e5\u308a\u5408\u3044\u306b\u9001\u4ed8\u3057\u3001\u6295\u7968\u3084\u5bc4\u4ed8\u306e\u4f9d\u983c\u3092\u3059\u308b\u53d6\u308a\u7d44\u307f\u304c\u3069\u3053\u307e\u3067\u5e83\u304c\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u52d5\u5411\u304c\u6ce8\u76ee\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6ce8\u76ee\u304c\u96c6\u307e\u308b\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u9663\u55b6\u306e\u9078\u6319\u5bfe\u7b56\u90e8\u9577\u3001\u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30c9\u30fb\u30d1\u30fc\u30b9\u30b1\u30fc\u30eb\u6c0f<\/h3>\n

2016\u5e74\u306e\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u306e\u30c7\u30b8\u30bf\u30eb\u6226\u7565\u306e\u7acb\u5f79\u8005\u3068\u3057\u3066\u30012020\u5e74\u306e\u9078\u6319\u6226\u3067\u306f\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u9078\u6319\u6226\u306e\u672c\u90e8\u9577\u306b\u307e\u3067\u6607\u9032\u3057\u305f\u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30c9\u30fb\u30d1\u30fc\u30b9\u30b1\u30fc\u30eb\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4eba\u7269\u304c\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3053\u4e00\u6708\u7a0b\u306e\u9593\u306b\u6b27\u7c73\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u5404\u7d19\u3067\u5f7c\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u4e0a\u3052\u305f\u30d7\u30ed\u30d5\u30a3\u30fc\u30eb\u8a18\u4e8b\u304c\u6b21\u3005\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\uff08\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30e8\u30fc\u30ab\u30fc<\/a>\u3001\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8<\/a>\u3001\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30e8\u30fc\u30af\u30bf\u30a4\u30e0\u30ba<\/a>\u3001\u30ac\u30fc\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u30f3<\/a>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u306b\u53c2\u52a0\u3059\u308b\u307e\u3067\u306f\u653f\u6cbb\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u3067\u306e\u30ad\u30e3\u30ea\u30a2\u304c\u307e\u3063\u305f\u304f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306b\u3082\u95a2\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u65e9\u3044\u6642\u671f\u306b\u30d5\u30a7\u30a4\u30b9\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u306e\u6d3b\u7528\u306b\u6ce8\u529b\u3057\u5b9f\u7e3e\u3092\u51fa\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3067\u6a29\u9650\u3068\u5b58\u5728\u611f\u3092\u7372\u5f97\u3057\u3001\u518d\u9078\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3082\u864e\u8996\u7708\u3005\u3068\u52dd\u5229\u306b\u5411\u3051\u3066\u53d6\u308a\u7d44\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u59ff\u304c\u63cf\u304b\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u30022016\u5e74\u306e\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u306e\u969b\u306e\u6d3b\u7528\u306e\u69d8\u5b50\u3092\u898b\u305f\u30d5\u30a7\u30a4\u30b9\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u306e\u5e79\u90e8\u304b\u3089\u306f\u300c\u4eca\u307e\u3067\u306b\u898b\u305f\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u552f\u4e00\u6700\u9ad8\u306e\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u3060\uff08the single best digital ad campaign I\u2019ve ever seen\uff09\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u3057\u3081\u305f\u7a0b\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u66f4\u306b\u30d5\u30a7\u30a4\u30b9\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u6d3b\u7528\u306b\u78e8\u304d\u3092\u304b\u3051\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3053\u3053\u306b\u6765\u3066\u6539\u3081\u3066\u6ce8\u76ee\u3092\u96c6\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"

3\u67082\u65e5\u306b\u63b2\u8f09\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30e8\u30fc\u30ab\u30fc\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3002\u300e\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u306e\u7d76\u5927\u306aFacebook\u3092\u652f\u3048\u308b\u7537\u301c\u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30c9\u30fb\u30d1\u30fc\u30b9\u30b1\u30fc\u30eb\u6c0f\u306f2016\u5e74\u306e\u9078\u6319\u3067\u30bd\u30fc\u30b7\u30e3\u30eb\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u3092\u5229\u7528\u3057\u30662016\u5e74\u306e\u9078\u6319\u3092\u63fa\u3055\u3076\u3063\u305f\u3002\u5f7c\u306f\u305d\u308c\u3092\u518d\u73fe\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u300f\uff08The Man Behind Trump\u2019s Facebook Juggernaut\u301cBrad Parscale used social media to sway the 2016 election. He\u2019s poised to do it again.<\/a>\uff09<\/p><\/div>\n

\u904e\u53bb3\u5e74\u307b\u3069\u306f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u30bd\u30fc\u30b7\u30e3\u30eb\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u3001\u7279\u306b\u30d5\u30a7\u30a4\u30b9\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u304c\u679c\u305f\u3057\u305f\u5f79\u5272\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308a\u3059\u304e\u305f\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8b70\u8ad6\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u30c7\u30b8\u30bf\u30eb\u6226\u7565\u306e\u84c4\u7a4d\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u597d\u8abf\u306a\u682a\u4fa1\u3068\u4f4e\u3044\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306a\u3069\u3092\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u3001\u3053\u3053\u6700\u8fd1\u307e\u3067\u306f\u904e\u53bb3\u5e74\u9593\u306e\u518d\u9078\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30da\u30fc\u30f3\u3092\u9032\u3081\u3066\u304d\u305f\u73fe\u8077\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u6c0f\u306e\u518d\u9078\u3092\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u4eba\u304c\u6570\u591a\u304f\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u308c\u304c\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u62e1\u5927\u306e\u69d8\u76f8\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3001\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u611f\u304c\u4e00\u5c64\u9ad8\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u672a\u6765\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3082\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u3054\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u3044\u304f\u3064\u304b\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3001\u6307\u6a19\u3001\u60c5\u5831\u6e90\u306a\u3069\u3082\u5b9a\u70b9\u89b3\u6e2c\u7684\u306b\u53c2\u7167\u3001\u6d3b\u7528\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u308c\u3070\u5e78\u3044\u3067\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u65b0\u3057\u304f\u751f\u307e\u308c\u308b\u3067\u3042\u308d\u3046\u30aa\u30f3\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u9078\u6319\u6d3b\u52d5\u304b\u3089\u3082\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u56fd\u5185\u306e\u9078\u6319\u6d3b\u52d5\u306b\u8ee2\u7528\u51fa\u6765\u308b\u30a2\u30a4\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u305d\u3093\u306a\u30a2\u30a4\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u304c\u3042\u308c\u3070\u307e\u305f\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

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